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The Japanese economy still maintains a cautious attitude towards rapid policy adjustments.

2024-05-06

■ April Tokyo Metropolitan Consumer Price Index
■ Free high school courses and elimination of income restrictions

In April, the Tokyo Metropolitan Consumer Price Index (CPI) revealed a noteworthy development. The growth rate of core CPI, excluding fresh food (up 1.6% year-on-year) and core CPI, excluding fresh food and energy (up 1.8% year-on-year), experienced a significant slowdown. This data, coupled with the free implementation of high school courses and the removal of income restrictions, has led to a substantial decrease in tuition fees for private high schools, providing a comprehensive view of the current economic landscape in Japan.
At the Bank of Japan's financial policy decision-making meeting held from the 25th to the 26th, the policy interest rate remained unchanged, and the asset purchase policy (such as long-term treasury bonds) followed the March policy. Regarding "economic and price prospects," the Consumer Price Index (core CPI), excluding fresh food and energy, is expected to continue to rise to a median of about 2% in 2026, indicating that the goal of price stability will continue to be achieved. As for the future policy direction, the meeting stated that "policies will be adjusted based on economic, price, and financial conditions," but also pointed out that "the degree of monetary easing will be adjusted when the economic and price prospects are realized and the basic price inflation rate is rising." At the same time, it emphasized that "a loose monetary environment will continue to be maintained," indicating a cautious attitude towards rapid policy adjustments.
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